Q: What’s up with the vice presidential nominee picks? — Joseph (and a whole bunch of other people)
A: The recent announcement of major party running mates shows how two teams can face the same issue and come up with very different results.
In this case, both campaigns wanted to fill gaps in their candidate’s public perception.
The Obama campaign conducted a classic job search: They held interviews, conducted background checks, and in the end picked the best match for the position out of the pool of submissions.
The McCain campaign came up with a list of demographic groups in which they weren’t doing as well as they thought they should, figured out what would appeal to those groups, and fed the criteria into Karl Rove’s old Select-O-Matic. Out popped Sarah Palin.
Right away, Gov. Palin gave a speech in which she strongly implied that disaffected female Hillary voters should vote the McCain/Palin ticket because Palin’s a woman. For why I find this insulting, see my other blog, here or here. (It’s a sidebar to the question at hand, and I already went through the trouble of posting it anyway. And by “the trouble of posting” I mean “the effort to hit some keys and buttons”.)
Now, the question is, did the McCain team pick her in good faith, or is it another Harriet Miers thing? As you may recall, a couple years back, one of the President’s Supreme Court nominees was someone whose primary real-world qualification was that she would appeal to the evangelical voters that Bush needed to have on his side for the 2006 elections. She stayed in the running exactly long enough to get noticed, then pulled out. Evangelicals cheered anyway.
There’s a rather interesting side discussion over whether McCain’s campaign properly vetted Palin: The campaign says they did, but they didn’t seem to contact anyone in politics or the business community. And there’s something very curious about a campaign waiting until the day before the VP announcement to send a team of investigators to the candidate’s home state. This lends credence to the theory — bolstered by people close to the candidacy speaking on terms of anonymity — that McCain wanted to pick Joe Lieberman or Tom Ridge, but had to concede that neither of them were conservative enough to please the voters he was in danger of losing. Specifically, neither of them was sufficiently anti-abortion.
As I write this, word comes out that Palin’s 17-year-old daughter is pregnant, and that young Bristol plans to keep the baby. From what I hear, mood on the convention floor — from the delegates who think it’s more important to preen than to volunteer — is jubilant: She’s going to have the baby! That’s the only thing that matters! That proves that her mom is totally pro-life! Which means McCain isn’t just pandering and social conservatives should vote for him! Let’s raise $10 million this weekend! …Never mind that whole hurricane thing, or that if a Democrat candidate’s kid was going to have a baby the delegates would probably view it as a parental failing, or how Bristol shows even less sign of being pregnant now than she did at the time when, according to some theories, she was pregnant with the kid who is being called her little brother. There is a very cynical part of me that wonders if Bristol’s being forced into pregnancy padding as punishment for some private misdeed.
(As for the aforementioned theories: I’m really not sure what to make of them. Though I do think it’s interesting that Gov. Palin showed no outward signs of pregnancy during her seventh month; flew after her water broke; and was back at work three days after delivering a baby with special needs. O… kay. I don’t know, maybe she’s just Superwoman.)
So: Is Sarah Palin going to hang with the ticket for the long haul, or is she going to drop out after she’s shored up evangelical support but before she gets thoroughly raked over the coals? We’ll know soon enough. It’s been less than a week, and there are already allegations of serious impropriety in the dismissal of the state’s Public Safety Comisioner. There’s that past membership in the Alaska Independence Party to deal with. And who knows what else might come to light now that Palin is under scrutiny? Visit intrade.net for the latest odds on whether Palin with withdraw, and pass the popcorn.
As for Joe Biden: He perfectly complements Obama. He’s more experienced, particularly on foreign policy; perceived as more working-class; and generally the sort of guy you’d want to sit next to on the train. He’s been running for President off and on for over 20 years now, so he knows the drill. He has, apparently, been properly vetted. What’s not to like?
Oh, right: He’s not Hillary Clinton.
Okay, disaffected Hillary Clinton supporters, gather ’round. Let’s have a talk. I know you love her, and that some of you are really disappointed. Fine; it’s your right to feel however you want. But there was no political reason to pick Hillary, and a whole lot of reasons not to. That’s just reality. The McCain campaign thinks your hurt feelings will push you to vote for the Republican ticket, even though their platform directly contradicts so many of Hillary’s position. You’re the only one who can decide whether it’s more important to vote with your heart or your head.